I'm not saying it's 0 risk. My point was merely that given the absence of such losses--losses that similar banks (e.g. in China) regularly sustain to support blatant industrial subsidies--then it's a stretch to call it a subsidy given the loaded meaning of that word in both politics and international affairs.
Yes, technically it's a market intervention. But unless someone is prepared to say that the Export-Import Bank is creating a bubble in exports, driving more exports than is economically sustainable, then criticism of the Export-Import Bank is unwarranted. Some economists are prepared to say that. But I think most economists--the ones who aren't ideological radicals--would say that it's a complex question, admit that it's probably serving some useful economic function, and shrug their shoulders. And of course most other people in the industry would absolutely say that it serves useful and necessary function.
Yes, technically it's a market intervention. But unless someone is prepared to say that the Export-Import Bank is creating a bubble in exports, driving more exports than is economically sustainable, then criticism of the Export-Import Bank is unwarranted. Some economists are prepared to say that. But I think most economists--the ones who aren't ideological radicals--would say that it's a complex question, admit that it's probably serving some useful economic function, and shrug their shoulders. And of course most other people in the industry would absolutely say that it serves useful and necessary function.