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It's really hard for me to understand a viewpoint that non-human higher intelligence is anything but inevitable.

At somepoint (ignoring us destorying ourselves) we will be able to accurately simulate a cell in software. As computing gets cheaper we will be able to simulate a human brain's worth of cells. We'll feed it inputs and give it outputs just like a brain would have. The only technological challenge here is scanning and reading data from a live brain. A very small challenge in the grand scheme of things.

Once that thing works it's a brain, and an artificial intelligence. Any other discussion simply complicates the situation. Accurately simulate a larger number of individual interconnected neurons and you're running an intelligence.

No I'm not 100% certain we'll ever be able to program intelligence the way to do reasoning symbolically in math, but we sure as heck can engineer one.




Is it known that a cell can be "accurately" simulated? Quantum systems are very difficult to simulate (exponentially complex for a classical computer, I believe). What does accurately mean? There are a near-infinite number of possible quantum states a cell can be in. We don't even have the technology to measure the quantum state of a cell, let alone predict its time evolution.

If a cell's emergent behavior is dependent on quantum or chaotic or otherwise subtle phenomenon, such a simulation may not accurately simulate a cell. The only hope we have of simulating a cell is by throwing away low-level information and then experimentally comparing our simulation to the real deal. At this stage, I don't think this is possible, so I consider the possibility of accurate cell simulation to be an open question. Do we have any way of knowing at this point? I'd be happy to be educated if I'm missing anything.


Nothing is know to be possible until it is actually done. So I agree with you that we don't know the answer, but I don't think that's a true limiting concern. Instead, we can estimate based on historical past, and project into the future.

I don't know that the car I get in tomorrow will drive, but I can project that it will based on history. Similarly we don't know that we can simulate a cell, however, we can look at the rate of improvement in technology, see now physical limitations and project that in the future we likely will. In contrast if the question had been can we travel faster than light, while still unknowable, we could see the known limits in physics and project that we won't.

The other important question which you raise is "what does accurately mean?". The two values of accurate that I see are what I'll call the "Turing Model" of accurate and the "Psychic Model" of accurate.

The Turing model of accurate is that I were to observe the behaviors of this simulation of you, I wouldn't be able to tell it was a simulation of your or the real you.

The "Psychic Model" of accurate would be if I were to feed the simulation the exact same inputs as you, it would product identical outputs until the day you both (simultaneously) die.

I argue that the only meaning that matters for practical use is the Turing Model of accurate. If no one can tell it's not human, then it's equivalent to a human.

So back to your original question of accuracy w.r.t. quantum phenomena. I do see reading of quantum data as a possible physical limitation. But my best (admittedly still laymen's) understanding of quantum behavior is that results can be accurately modeled probabilistically. We easily can produce the same result distribution.

So my final argument rests on the question "Do we think that human intelligence depends only on the probability distribution of quantum events, or is there a hidden interplay in the specific "values" produced?"

Based on what we've seen so far from QM, I lean towards a dependency on the distribution as sufficient - ie there isn't an underlying structure hidden in the values we need to try to replicate.


A simulated heart does not pump real blood. Also in the process, why should one start or stop at cell level, seems arbitrary, go further down to atoms and electrons etc. or go higher level to mental state or what not.

There are completed projects of smaller organism whose all neurons have been simulated, there hasn't been any revelations.

Our brain doesn't contain any 'data', so whoever decides to extract data from it will have to decide what the data will be or why it would be of any use. There has also been many objections made on why brain correlates are more or less useless on question of mind/intelligence.


> A simulated heart does not pump real blood.

Well, now, a simulated heartbeat implemented in a pacemaker and connected to a pump does cause real blood to be pumped.

A real brain adds real numbers, and so does a computer brain. A real brain composes real words, creates real emails, issues payments, requests shipments. Those are not less real than the words, emails, procedures, payments, and shipment requests that computers make today.


I should have said, A simulated heart in computer does not pump real blood.

The thinking involved for a person in issuing shipment is not same as what computer does. These are not simulations. Just similar looking interface. Like a animated cartoon human, compared to a human.


> Our brain doesn't contain any 'data'

It absolutely does! Where do you think our memories are stored?

It doesn't store it in 1s and 0s like computers, but I think it's fairly non-controversial to say that all of everything you know is encoded in the physical state of the cells and atoms of your body.


> Where do you think our memories are stored?

You are applying computer metaphor and then asking where the 'memory' is 'stored' or 'encoded'. Metaphors/abstractions are useful tool, but when talking about differences, we should be more careful.


If this assumption is correct then I could see us creating an accurate model of the human brain in the future.

But it is an assumption.


Brain does not equal intelligence.




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