This is one of the most frightening things I've seen on HN. A fleet of these killing machines would be so much more effective than ground troops at "killing the enemy". What bothers me is that if these are so much cheaper to make, and more accurate with less collateral damage then it makes our regime more effective at snuffing out foreigners that intelligence deems as dangerous for one reason or another.
It seems that this is one of those devices that you can not fight with, especially if they are deployed in great numbers. What do you do, stay inside if the U.S has deemed you a threat? Hack it to try to take control of it? That seems like a scarier proposition and one that is much more likely.
We're concerned that "loose nukes" will fall into the hands of "the enemy". An attack like that would cause great collateral damage. Eighty years from now, will we be worried about a competing economy that has the technical prowess to create such a killing machine as is linked in this article? Eisenhower warned us in his final speech as president against the Military-Industrial Complex that drives our capitalist nation to create more effective and more deadly weapons.
"It seems that this is one of those devices that you can not fight with, especially if they are deployed in great numbers. What do you do, stay inside if the U.S has deemed you a threat? Hack it to try to take control of it? That seems like a scarier proposition and one that is much more likely."
Logically you just build an automated robotic anti-sniper system that shoots down any of these as soon as they get in range. That shouldn't be much of a problem for any military force with decent recourses nowadays.
A good point, yet that again causes an escalation of an "arms race" of this kind of weaponry.
It's also a matter of logistics, where do you deploy the anti-sniper drone equipment? Around everywhere a sensitive target may go?
I suppose I'm not arguing that these things won't continue to be built and countermeasures won't be adapted to that kind of warfare. It was merely meant as an expression of the general concern that our modern societies keep working toward very efficient and accurate ways to kill one another.
It was stated more out of the depression that I know that just posting my thoughts to the internet won't do much good. Yet it's something that's worth mentioning in between the cacophony of other shouting voices wishing that things were this way or that. At least a subset of individuals I consider my peers have seen it, and thought about it at least once today.
"Our modern societies keep working toward very efficient and accurate ways to kill one another"
We could always go back to the less accurate ways of killing each other like a good old fashion Viking raid, barbarian hordes, firebombing cities Dresden style, concentration camps, and let's not forget Fatman & Little Boy.
I'd say it's not mutually exclusive. The sudden ability to take out those whom your government feels is "doing wrong" without being concerned about potential collateral damage is a new thing indeed. It makes war more palatable, less like the atrocities you describe above. That said, access to this kind of small, accurate technology considerably lowers the threshold between deciding to kill someone, and implementing that decision. At least I like to assume that the probability of wide spread collateral damage makes the decision harder to make.
The problem lies in the fact that "both sides" will eventually have this technology, and that the notion of "doing wrong" is unfortunately subjective.
I find it interesting that folks who quote Eisenhower about the military industrial complex never bother with a danger that he talked about more.
It doesn't come packaged in a cute phrase. The closest that he got was "we must also be alert to the equal and opposite danger that public policy could itself become the captive of a scientific technological elite."
"Eighty years from now, will we be worried about a competing economy that has the technical prowess to create such a killing machine as is linked in this article? "
Some economies are close. And it won't take eighty years. Try 10-15 at worst. And then we build sniper killers! (goes back to coding an "emerging economy" military system)
I proposed this idea around the time the last pirate attacks were in the news. Merchant ships could provide some sort of landing pad and automatically detaching power umbilical. Such drones could "visit" transiting merchant vessels and land there to loiter in good weather. Once the merchant is out of danger, the drone could fly to its next assignment.
My original idea involved launchers in standard cargo containers, linking to a remote control facility on demand by satellite, but independent drones only requiring such landing pads would be even cheaper.
This isn't really a threat to an established military operation. Just another risk on the battlefield. A simple decoy/killer routine should be pretty effective in taking them out. It's hard to make a vehicle both air worthy and armoured.
The major issue I see is that this is a terror organization's wet dream. Instead of dirty bombs and nukes, you can easily establish a fleet of these things and let them loose on a city. Put them on blimps, set them for about 500 ft., arm them with $5 motion sensors (no need for any real target selection) add a grenade or two and you have a suicide rifleman that blows up once his magazine is empty.
Easily released by a van or two a few miles from the next Superbowl.
Curious to know how they compensate for windage? Elevation is easy to calculate, but at non-trivial ranges wind becomes a major factor in ballistics.
Also: why are there not soldier-portable computer-guided sniper rifles? Deploy spotter + servo-driven rifle platform, dial in windage, designate target with laser or via screen, point, click, boom.
It seems to me that a gas-operated semi-automatic rifle is a poor choice for an unmanned vehicle, as there is nobody to clear out a jam. I suspect that if this proves effective, they will take a non-automatic action and motorize it as that is far less prone to jamming.
I think this is A. Big. Deal. Probably much more so than most other UAV news.
Having a silent sniper sitting at 3 thousand feet just below the cloud deck with the ability to pick off targets up to a mile (making up some 2nd generation specs, but bear with me) is a total game-changer in all kinds of ways. Ideally a blimp would be better than a freaking expensive helicopter, and satellite/laser modes of operation would be better still (perhaps)
In World War II, the Japanese sent a balloon barrage across the pacific to set fires up and down the West Coast. It was such a success that officials put a lid on press accounts for fear that the Japanese would realize what they were on to.
Now imagine hundreds of these suckers, small and silent, moving across a city while camouflaged against the sky. It would be like the apocalypse. The only recourse I can see is for the entire population to live inside and underground.
It seems that this is one of those devices that you can not fight with, especially if they are deployed in great numbers. What do you do, stay inside if the U.S has deemed you a threat? Hack it to try to take control of it? That seems like a scarier proposition and one that is much more likely.
We're concerned that "loose nukes" will fall into the hands of "the enemy". An attack like that would cause great collateral damage. Eighty years from now, will we be worried about a competing economy that has the technical prowess to create such a killing machine as is linked in this article? Eisenhower warned us in his final speech as president against the Military-Industrial Complex that drives our capitalist nation to create more effective and more deadly weapons.
Does mankind need this kind of weaponry?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military-industrial_complex