That's a crazy showertought. WH might actually consider it.

After hypothetical successful debt relinquish negotiations, any new US debt would have similar interest rate to Argentinian debt, 30% or so. Wall Street would shrink and London (or Frankfurt) would become new global financial center.

In reality, countries do just as what they do now. They raise counter-tariffs. The US faces coutertariffs from everyone. Other countries only from the US. Trade between countries other increase and they gradually adjust. Europeans start buying less iPhones and buy more Androids made in South Korea. Less Fords more Nissan.

> Europeans start buying less iPhones

I wonder... they're all made in China anyway. And shipped from there directly, not through the US. I'm sure that either the US tariffs won't apply to them, or Apple will shuffle some subsidiaries so they don't.

Buying goods from American corporations is going to leave a sour taste in the mouth for Europeans now.

Yeah but for smartphones you have two choices, both American.

Don't tell me it matters who makes the hardware, it's the OS that sets the experience.

Samsung and apple?

Apple and google. Read both lines of my post.

Most (if not all) Fords bought in Europe are actually made in Germany (AFAIR).

I'm sure AI produced code will be unintelligible to humans soon too.

It's completely reasonable to expect it to last longer than 12 months, especially considering this is their premium model.

In Europe, consumers should be getting longer protection than 1 year. May require a fight / small claims court submission to exercise one's rights.

Trump and Musk are working according to their own fickle natures and whims.

All anyone can do is guess and imagine, because of this.

Everyone has to be a theory. Reason is extinct.

> Trump and Musk are working according to their own fickle natures and whims.

The effect of network organizations like Heritage Foundation or the decades-long work of the Koch brothers or the Murdoch clan on what Trump is doing is not to be underestimated.

This is giving me flashbacks to the days when MS Access (and later on Visual Basic) ruled this segment of the market.

It's interesting to think there's still a market for this type of small scale enthusiast application.

One scenarios I've been thinking about recently is the death of the generic app.

If LLMs end up being able to create software easily, why wouldn't we choose to have software that's totally aligned our specific needs?

Not just totally aligned, but also "just-in-time" and ephemeral: an LLM goes and does/builds it on request, and then destroys all artifacts when the request has been fulfilled?

If the persistence of something incurs a cost in storage and security, and the traditional penalties of efficiency and learning-curves are removed, why not recreate it every time its needed?

I like this idea.

As an analogue to this; would each iteration adapt and evolve in the same way an organism might?

Maybe not "evolve" but certainly would be different every time, right? If it already knows every conivable way to generate something, it stands to reason it will be different every time, as every request will be a little different, even if it's just the temperature of the room.

As a thought exercise: if I could automatically generate, at no cost in money or time, a "disposable" vehicle for every single trip I took, wouldn't it make sense that it would be different every time, even though the basic requirement (transportation) is the same? Why bother generating a car with A/C if it's cold out? Why have a passenger seat if I'm just going to the corner store for milk?

Yes, but then familiarity is often a positive quality.

Knowing where the AC always is, could be seen as a benefit (even if you don't want to use it).

By aim for iterative improvements, the system could focus on personal contextual features; and the way we end up using a product over time.

Ah, yes, preference! How well will the AI know what we prefer without us having to articulate it every time. Very good, I like this.

Let's turn that on it's head: maybe we engage with AI/AI products that seem to just provide outcomes we prefer. Let's say all AI will probably be able to generate all manner of things, but we might like Z AI because when I ask for Y kind of widget it builds ones I seem to just...prefer more. It seems to "just get me".

I suppose, if your best friend, PA or butler knew you really well, they might have a really good idea of the kind of thing you might like.

If the AI has a very close link to you, and observes a lot of what you do, it might have a much clearer idea of what you want and need.

And if it was linked to your mind ...

I support Tailwind for precisely this reason.

A good point, but unfortunately we're going to need to get used to the new paradigm.

The LLM costs a minute fraction of the cost of employing a human junior developer.

I would have thought the concept of 'leverage' is more useful.

I'll do you one even better: "Never land in a situation where you just got fired and have to find a job quickly. Easy, right?".

That's what 99.9% of all negotiation advice I ever saw boils down to. Basically beat the game before it beats you.

Really cute... until you remember most people don't live to "play the negotiation game". They want a stable paycheck and to raise their family.

But who's asking, right.

It boils down to being able to walk away .. but you're totally right, most people are never able to be in that position. It's a luxury for most.

True, and thanks for acknowledging it. I admit I am really tired of cookie-cutter advice lately and sometimes get triggered and call it out in less than a productive tone. Thanks for not reacting to it. :)

Because it is more precise.

'Alternative' or 'option', leave the question 'to what?'.

Unless we’re in a situation where violence concludes every interaction, “negotiated agreement” is the presumed conclusion of every interaction.

I declined this job offer because I had BATNA.

I declined this job offer because I had a better option.

I negotiated more PTO because I had a BATNA.

I negotiated more PTO because I had a better alternative.

It's an educational concept. Not something you'd use in a sentence like that.

I think you're being a pendent.

> I think you're being a pendent.

Oh god help me....

I'm glad someone noticed!

(But a little disappointed my trap wasn't successful ..)

Despicable. A pox on your house.

Sure, but that’s why I originally replied to brtkdotse, since their comment did use it in a sentence like that.

Junior devs don't always understand enough to know why something should or shouldn't be done.

I don't think junior devs are going to benefit; if anything, the whole role of 'junior' has been made obsolete. The rote / repetitive work a junior would traditionally do, can now be delegated wholesale to a LLM.

I figure, productivity is going to be increased a lot. We'll need less developers as a result. The duties associated with developers are going to morph and become more solutions / architecture orientated.

What you say could be true too (or a combo), the outcome will still be the same though as more devs compete for fewer positions.