Quantum compute is my guess. Being able to switch entire models at atomic speeds will give the perception of intelligence at least. There is still a lot there that will need to be figured out between now and then.
That's the point of having a government for the people by the people.
But when you let billionaires take over that too then the people have zero protections from exploitation.
If they cared they would invest in America paying more taxes, ensuring citizens are educated and capable of leading their companies versus offshoring and even competing with them.
They don't want that and prefer their monopolies instead.
And as an aside, let's deep dive into the kind of person Larry Ellison is. Guy literally bought out an island where he rules as almost-a-king. You can't do shit in Lanai without Larry's say-so, and if you move out of Lanai or you quit/lose your job working for Larry, your only option is to sell your home back to him.
I've never been a fan of Oracle to begin with given my love for open source but after Larry Ellison is out there preaching about a surveillance state America he became a "person I can ignore" to a "person a despise".
Yeah I think people are underestimating drones here.
There is a reason this administration is fast tracking drone production and easing up on procurement. Some stuff doesn't need super sophisticated systems with traditional processes to get off the ground quickly with a cheap swarm approach.
It's probably the only thing I can agree with this administration on.
With that said America would be doing both drone swarms and advanced missile systems where they are most effective.
And that comes down to the moral and social contract we have and the power we give to digital money and who owns it.
We either let the peoples creativity and knowledge be controlled and owned by a select few OR we ensure all people benefit from humanities creativity and own it. And the fruits that it bears advance all of humanity. Where their are safety nets in place to ensure we are not enslaved by it but elevated to advance it.
I would hope that people realize that money in itself is merely digits on a computer and that the real power of this stuff belongs to the people since the AI inherited and learned from us.
I know that's a simplification but we uphold this contract that controls us. The people get to decide how this plays out and as much as I'm hopeful we excel into a world that is more like star trek, that skips over the ugly transition that could succeed or fail to get us there.
But we aren't that far off of a replicator if our AI models become so advanced in an atomic compute world they can rearrange atoms into new forms. It seemed fiction before but within reach of humanity should we not destroy ourselves.
Our moral and political development severely lags our technological development. I have very little confidence that it will ever catch up. Looking back over the post-WW2 era, we have seen improvements (civil rights, recognition of past injustices, expansion of medical care in many countries) but also serious systemic regressions (failure to take climate change seriously, retreat to parochial revenge-based politics, failure to adequately fund society's needs, capture of politics and law by elites).
My main concern about AI is not any kind of extinction scenario but just the basic fact that we are not prepared to address the likely externalities that result from it because we're just historically terrible at addressing externalities.
The problem isn't the failure of the mathematicians and engineers who succeeded at the task of automating humanities mundane tasks in life.
It's that the people failed to elect and wield a government that ensures all humanity benefits from it and not a select few who control it all.
And I think it will become clear that the governments that are investing in it to benefit their people who have ownership versus the ones who invest in it to benefit just a handful of the rich are the ones who will keep society stable while this happens.
The other path we are going down is you will have mass unrest, move into a police state to control the resistance like America is doing now, and be exactly what Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and Larry Ellison want with AI driven surveillance and Orwellian dystopian vision forcing people to comply or be cut out of existence deactivating their Digital IDs.
Yeah I'm not excited about the future anymore. I used to have hopes America would try to usher in a better era but the opposite is happening where the shift is towards profits over people. A select few at the top who break laws is accepted while the rest are forced with even less rights. This goes beyond politics now but it is impossible for people to stop the infighting and look up who is causing all the problems.
Kevin Rose must be on that hype train again. I've been on Reddit for 17 years since the Digg crash. All they had to do was not screw it up for many of us and we wouldn't be at this reinvent stage.
I don't do this with every topic unless I'm interested in discussing something just so I'm more informed just to reduce bias.
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