Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit | NoobSaibot135's comments login

> this wouldn't always be consistent right? Like "once upon a time _____" wouldn't always output the same thing, yes?

Would be cool if you could turn up/down the LLM’s temperature by pressing different keys other than just !!!!

Say pressing keyword numbers 0-9


> I don’t know why prices are still up though – if interest rates being high was making housing unaffordable, one would expect prices to be down.

We printed ~25% of all money in existence since 2020 so that obv means more diluted money chasing scarce housing (applies to everyone worldwide)

High real estate prices might be the new norm :(


Why would money printing increase housing prices but not wages?

Why would money printing postpone its effect on prices until after interest rates increased?


> Why would money printing increase housing prices but not wages?

Because most of the freshly printed money wasn't immediately used to increase the demand for consumer goods. Instead, it only kept consumer goods demand about neutral, until the summer of 2022.

Without inflation in consumer goods, most businesses don't have increased profits, and no incentive to try to hire more people, which kept wages down.

Instead, the extra money found it's way into assets, pumping up the stock market and housing market.

That started changing in 2022, as inflation hit (which SHOULD have surprised nobody). But the inflation was kept in check by increasing the interest rate.

The increase in the interest rate stopped the amount of money from continuing to grow and even fall slightly. But not nearly enough to reach pre-covid levels.

That means that there is still a lot of excess money in the system slushing around. As long as the real interest rate on bank deposits is still low, people are not tempted to keep them as deposits. So the money stays in assets, maintaining the high price.

> Why would money printing postpone its effect on prices until after interest rates increased?

I'm assuming you mean consumer prices here, not housing prices. Consumer prices stayed low during the pandemic, since people generally reduced their consumption, especially the consumption of services (restaurants, entertainment, etc). A lot of "regular" people paid down credit card debt or increased the size of their savings account.

In 2022, that changed. "Regular people" started to spend more of their savings again, and this caused inflation to rise. As inflation was going up, the fed (and other central banks) slowly increased the interest rate, but not quickly enough to stop the sharp rise in aggregate demand. (And war in Ukraine and continued lockdown in China didn't help either, nor did various initiatives to re-shore production of anything from microchips to ventilators, or for that matter the huge investments of capital currently going into AI infrastructure).

And as demand pushed inflation up, that lead to some increase in the demand for labor. So even if the salaries haven't kept up with inflation, inflation definitely has been increased by the increase in salaries.

Naively, one might expect that the inflationary pressure will cease once aggregate inflation reaches 25% relative to 2020.

And if you wonder why wages haven't kept up. I think this can be explained by a weakening of the demand side of consumer goods, driven by various inefficiencies in how capital allocation, due to the cost of building new and robust supply chains, due to the situation in Ukraine/Russia and China and AI investments etc (as listed above, too).


That actually happened

Meng Wanzhou (daughter of the founder of Huawei) bypassed sanctions against Iran

Vancouver airport arrested and put her under house arrest for a few years


I like your analogy of a tick tock ~= epoch of progress

Step change, then optimization of that step change

Kind of like a grand father clock with a huge pendulum swinging to one side, then another(commonly used metaphor).


Intel has been doing "tick-tock" for almost 20 years - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tick%E2%80%93tock_model


It's a metaphor that's been used with the advancement of CPU designs at least as far back as the 80s or 90s. Intel uses it explicitly in their marketing nowadays, I believe.


Love coding train YouTube channel!

This guy is funny, knowledgeable and not full of himself (unlike others in our industry)

Learned a ton from Daniel when I was starting out


Seems like Pareto 80/20 law is not too dissimilar from powers of 2.

In binary, most significant(left most) bit is twice the magnitude of the previous bit. So that bit (or person) would contribute and get compensated accordingly.

Would also be similar to segment trees with each leaf node having a value of 1 with parents recursively summing the children?


> ruined mostly because a shelter and various other supports opened up down the block, and kind of turned the area into a mini-Skid Row

That’s why I’m against social housing.

Inner city welfare/government housing aggregates all the homeless into one area where open air drug markets can flourish and other nefarious activities are normalized.

Low income people should instead move to the outskirts of big cities where the rent is more affordable and they are more spread out.


Except their jobs and the services they need are also more spread out. Plus their friends and family and further away. The result: now those people need cars and the benefit of any cost savings is lost. That's not to mention the other problems that come with increased automobile usage.

I'm sorry, it's just not that simple.


That’s the wealthy’s issue: Fund reliable, efficient, and safe mass transport.

I attribute most of todays problems to NIMBYism and highly-selective and classist—as in, target the ones without the funds to fight back—use of eminent domain.


That’s why it’s better to distribute and thin out social housing across every neighborhood, rather than concentrate them all in a handful of places.

It’s easy to police one or two “problem” residents and maybe some positive habits will rub off; likewise, ground the wealthier residents to reality.


I got tinnitus after my second Pfizer shot (booster)

Anyone else speculating whether the shots somehow lowered our overall immune systems?


I was blown away by the Every Day Astronaut Starbase tours.

Elon had all the intricacies and parts of the rockets memorized and was just rattling off details like it was nothing.

Kind of makes me think human intelligence is a direct function of memory.


+1

Also wish YouTube would copy X/Twitter where you get two toggle options:

1) For you (algo recommendations)

2) Directly following

You would ideally use directly following on the days where you’re time crunched.


As a sub-par solution; I completely turned off history on my main account, which also turns off recommendations.

I also created a secondary “channel” under my main account that I watch certain topics only. It’s quite a hassle but kind of works.


Join us for AI Startup School this June 16-17 in San Francisco!

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: