Food is about 90% domestically produced [1], so tariffs are inconsequential there. The things that are going to be largely affected by tariffs are things like imported electronics, furniture, and so on.
The tariffs are primarily hitting the discretionary sector of products, which means people can simply stop buying them. There's also product replacement as an option. For instance the next time somebody's coffee maker breaks they end up buying a French press only to discover that not only is it way cheaper (no filters!), but it never breaks and makes way better coffee anyhow! (Pro Tip: don't use boiling water)
Coffee and chocolate are not domestically produced, nor are bananas which are like the potatoes of the fruit world in terms of how productive they are.
There are lots of nondiscretionary products that take a while to flow through to the point you notice them. The parts to repair the machines that make things for example. Or at a low level, the inserts used in mills to make things out of metal. There are other inserts available, but they aren't as good so they need replacement more often.
There actually are already domestically produced coffees in America! And if other coffees end up forced to significantly raise costs, that would increase the market share and production of these coffees. It could end up being a major economic boon to places like Puerto Rico. The link I mentioned also covered non-domestic inputs, and not just final products. It's about 4.7%.
The lion's share of imports are going to be alcohol and purchasing produce outside of season.
It seems unlikely that we can grow enough coffee in Puerto Rico and Hawaii to make up for the difference. It might be good for those producers though.
Do you mean the lion's share of food imports or imports in general? Lots of seafood is processed elsewhere and imported the US. Strangely it appears ground beef is imported to the US even though we are a net exporter of beef.
> Food is about 90% domestically produced [1], so tariffs are inconsequential there
Prices are determined at the margin. Domestic producers suddenly have less foreign competition. That lets them raise prices. (Which is what we’re seeing, though not at an accelerated rate to what food prices were doing in ‘24 [1].)
The tariffs are primarily hitting the discretionary sector of products, which means people can simply stop buying them. There's also product replacement as an option. For instance the next time somebody's coffee maker breaks they end up buying a French press only to discover that not only is it way cheaper (no filters!), but it never breaks and makes way better coffee anyhow! (Pro Tip: don't use boiling water)
[1] - https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/charts-of-note/chart-...