This highlander, zero-sum-game view of the smartphone market is good for page views but horrible for real thoughtful analysis. Microsoft seems to be betting its Windows Phone 7 strategy on converting feature phone users to WP7 smart phones. It is going to be a long time before smart phones are zero-sum.
What would be interesting is how tough it is going to be for different app types to switch between devices and what the store situation is going to look like in the next couple of years. Those are more interesting questions when considering what a developer is going to do.
For example, OpenGL ES is standard on iOS and Android, but I believe it is not on WP7. This might be a big hurdle for smaller companies and not allow the development of WP7 versions of some games.
"Apple will always be the Maserati of smartphones — leading-edge, trendy, stylish, downright awesome."
I have a tough time believing any article that takes the Apple Mac strategy and assumes it is the same for iPhones or iPads. It ignores the iPod pricing. It also ignores what the current management team has done with a new device entering a new market. I think the big lie about this type of comparison can be found in the lack of iPad competitors with the same features at a lower price point. The days of Apple not being able to get the best component prices ended in the iPod era.
What would be interesting is how tough it is going to be for different app types to switch between devices and what the store situation is going to look like in the next couple of years. Those are more interesting questions when considering what a developer is going to do.
For example, OpenGL ES is standard on iOS and Android, but I believe it is not on WP7. This might be a big hurdle for smaller companies and not allow the development of WP7 versions of some games.
"Apple will always be the Maserati of smartphones — leading-edge, trendy, stylish, downright awesome."
I have a tough time believing any article that takes the Apple Mac strategy and assumes it is the same for iPhones or iPads. It ignores the iPod pricing. It also ignores what the current management team has done with a new device entering a new market. I think the big lie about this type of comparison can be found in the lack of iPad competitors with the same features at a lower price point. The days of Apple not being able to get the best component prices ended in the iPod era.